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Two recent reports from the United States strongly suggest the United States is planning a major war with Russia and China, but are far from certain that they could in fact succeed in such a war. The reports also provide insights into how the United States will meet the budgetary demands of such war preparations, but almost zero appreciation of the social and human costs of such policies.
The first of these reports is entitled Providing for the Common Defence (November 2018). It is the report prepared for the purpose of assessing the National Defence Strategy document released in early 2018.
It acknowledges that changes at home and abroad are diminishing US military advantages, and that this diminution of these advantages poses a threat to vital United States interests.
Geopolitical shifts in the regional power structures are undermining deterrence of United States adversaries and confidence of United States allies, thus increasing the likelihood of military conflict. Should such a conflict eventuate, the United States could suffer unacceptably high casualties and a loss of major capital assets.
The report says that America is losing its advantage in key war fighting areas such as air and missile defence, cyber and space operations, anti-surface and anti- submarine warfare, long range ground-based fires, and electronic warfare.
It further acknowledges that Americas edge is diminishing or has disappeared in many key technologies that underpin US military superiority.
Such frankness is not without precedent in US strategy papers and the implications of the above quotations are a probable reason why the report has received almost zero coverage in the western mainstream media.
Acknowledgements of technological deficiency and strategic disadvantage do not sit comfortably with the image of an all-powerful America willing and able to defeat any threat to its own global interests or those of its allies. The latter prefer the comfortable delusion of an omnipotent US umbrella.
The Commissions strategy for addressing this perceived falling behind and consequent loss of military omnipotence is however itself fatally flawed. The proposed solution is to spend vas...
The report, obtained by The Washington Post before its official release Monday, is the first to study the millions of posts provided by major technology firms to the Senate Intelligence Committee, led by Sen. Richard Burr (R-N.C.), its chairman, and Sen. Mark Warner (Va.), its ranking Democrat. The bipartisan panel also released a second independent report studying the 2016 election Monday. Lawmakers said the findings do not necessarily represent the views of the panel or its members.The two reports were put out by Oxford Universitys Computational Propaganda Project and New Knowledge. No information is provided by the Washington Post as to what either of these organizations are, who runs them, or who funds them.
One doesnt have to be an expert in Shakespeare to see Donald
Trump as a tragedy in motion. I was the only one in HH that liked
Hillary over Donald before the election. I thought Hillary will
manage the decline of American Empire in a more orderly way and
Donald will be chaos causing unpredictable disasters for all, but
the rapidity of the decline astonish all including myself.
Certainly hes causing pain for China with his tariff war and
possible technology embargo, which I think most Americans dont
disagree with him at present. But now he has singlehandedly stirred
the hornets nest , aka swamp in Washington DC establishment to a
boil. It remains to be seen whether the swamp will swamp him with
Muellers report and impeachment.
I dislike Trump intensely. For he represents the antithesis of Chinese traditional values. Honor, honesty, loyalty, and empathy. The lack of those values not only reflect from his behavior, but also reflect from his associates and fellow criminals, Cohen, Flynn, and Manafort. His slogan MAGA hides his real aim of trying to maintain and return America as a WASP country in imaginary Ayn Rand novels. Yet, I cant really oppose his policies of dismantling the empire by withdrawing from Syria and Afghanistan which I agree. Even his immigration policy while lacking in empathy I agree to a certain extent. I do think any country need to maintain border security and citizenship by birth is an anachronism.
The one positive outcome is Trump has managed to torn open the curtain of illusion which blinded those Chinese liberals of Western superiority, of sweet and clean air as spoken by that Maryland graduate rather than ashes from California fire or coal, the human rights as a shield against the inequality behind the curtain, or even the illusion the liberals in the West clothed on themselves about the ossified U.S. Constitution being real democracy. I do hope they can see behind the curtain of gerrymandering with 37% Republican voter control more than 50% of Wisconsin state legislature, or as Michael Moore call on people to rise up against electoral college, that if Trump got more than 3 million votes and lost by electoral college he would have call the people to the ramparts.
It is absolutely bat shit crazy that endless war is normalized while the possibility of peace and respecting national sovereignty to any extent is aggressively abnormalized. In a sane world the exact opposite would be true, but in our world this self-evident fact has been obscured.
Every US president really believes that the United States is unique in history and fated to remake the entire world in its own image.
Calls by Canadas National Defence Committee for increased sanctions that is, economic warfare, against Russia, and for an increased NATO presence in the Black Sea, directly threatening Russias southern flank and its Crimea territory, used the term revisionist power to describe Russia. This term has also been used by American and NATO diplomats and generals concerning China. It is a term that is never defined. To Marxists it rings of not being true to the cause of revolution, and that is, until recently, its most common usage. Lately it has been used to label anyone who questions official or standard narratives of history with the sense of condemnation for revisiting the facts and constructing an alternative narrative that more closely fits the facts. If you claim the attacks on Yugoslavia, or Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya or Syria were acts of aggression instead of humanitarian interventions, you are now labelled a revisionist. If you deny Russia influenced the elections in the USA or Europe or deny their new allegations of Russia taking over social media, or deny that Ukrainian ships violated Russian waters in the Kerch Straight, you are a revisionist. In other words it is a term of censorship. So the adoption of the word by the NATO war machine in its propaganda against Russia and China, as a strategic concept, is puzzling. Are the Russians and Chinese betraying a revolution? Are they rewriting history? Since it is almost never defined in the articles or essays pumped out by all the propaganda organs of NATO the public is left guessing as to what it can mean-but one thing they are sure of, it must be bad.
The first time I saw it being used was in a 2014 article in the blog of an American right-wing think-tank and since then it has been used repeatedly by US and UK think tanks, in speeches by NATO politicians, in their policy papers, tweets, and press conferences but, again, never is the term explained. Its as though they are speaking a secret code to themselves. You are left to understand the code or find the meaning in the subtext. But one place we can look to try to understand what they mean and why they are using this term now as a regular part of their propaganda is the US National Defense Strategy of 2018, the summary of which states,
The central challenge to U.S. prosperity and security is the re-emergence of long-term, strategic competition by what the National Security Strategy classifies as revisionist powers. It is increasingly clear that China and Russia want to shape the...
President Trump's strategic decision to withdraw U.S. troops from Syria creates some significant fallout. The U.S. and international borg is enraged that Trump ends an occupation that is illegal under international as well as U.S. domestic law. "That's un-American!"
If this weeks developments are the result of someone putting something into Donalds morning Egg McMuffin, America and the world owe him (or her) a vote of thanks
Fraud might run through Manaforts blood (convictions on eight counts of bank-and tax-fraud is fairly convincing proof of that), but the case assembled against Assange seems very much one of enthusiastic botch-up masquerading as a stitch-up.
The post The Bomb That Did Not Detonate: Julian Assange, Manafort And The Guardian appeared first on OrientalReview.org.
The latest bid to keep Washingtons desperate Russiagate conspiracy theory alive has energized distilled segments of the public still convinced of Moscows global omniscience and its role in manipulating and undermining virtually every aspect of their daily lives.
But recent revelations are simply the same accusations made against a Russian-based click-bait farm, repackaged and respun.
The Washington Posts article, New report on Russian disinformation, prepared for the Senate, shows the operations scale and sweep, would in fact present no new report. Instead, it would present repackaged narratives involving Russias disinformation campaign around the 2016 election.
The Washington Post would claim:
The report, obtained by The Washington Post before its official release Monday, is the first to study the millions of posts provided by major technology firms to the Senate Intelligence Committee, led by Sen. Richard Burr (R-N.C.), its chairman, and Sen. Mark Warner (Va.), its ranking Democrat. The bipartisan panel also released a second independent report studying the 2016 election Monday. Lawmakers said the findings do not necessarily represent the views of the panel or its members.
The two reports were put out by Oxford Universitys Computational Propaganda Project and New Knowledge. No information is provided by the Washington Post as to what either of these organizations are, who runs them, or who funds them.
Both reports rehash allegations claiming the Russia-based Internet Research Agency (IRA) conducted an extensive influence campaign through social media during the 2016 US elections.
The total amount of money spent on such operations amounted to approximately $100,000 in Facebook ads. To put this amount in context, the very same Washington Post would report in April 2017 that the total amount spen...
Believe it or not, but not long ago, Cyprus used to be the only country in the European Union that was governed by a Communist Party. And it was not really too long ago between 2008 and 2013.
Also, relatively recently, unification of the Republic of Cyprus and the Turkish administered northern part of the island, appeared to be achievable.
And when Cyprus, like Greece, almost collapsed financially, it was Russia which offered to bail it out (before the EU did all it could to prevent this from happening).
Now it all seems like ancient history.
The city of Nicosia is still divided, with the Greek Cypriot and the Turkish immigration check-points located right in the middle of an old town. Graffiti painted in no mans land demand an immediate end to the conflict: One country; one nation solution.
The crossing is busy. And to make it all somehow more colorful, perhaps, there is a huge white Pitbull, phlegmatically hanging around the border area. It does not bark; it is just there. Nobody knows whether he belongs to the Turkish or the Greek side, but it appears that he spends more time with the Turks, as, I suppose, they feed him better.
The Greek-speaking side of Nicosia looks like a slightly run-down EU provincial town. On their flank, Turks are smoking shisha (traditional Middle Eastern waterpipe), and their cafes appear to be more traditional, and the old architecture more elegant. In the southern part, freshly brewed coffee is called Greek, while a few meters north, you have to order Turkish, or at least Arabic coffee. Needless to say, you get the same stuff on both sides.
Otherwise, it is one island, one history and one sad and unnecessary partition.
The division of the nation is not the only madness here. Before you get used to the idea, you may go mental, finding out that there are two British administered territories still engraved into the island.
If you drive around, you will never notice that you are actually leaving Cyprus, and entering the U.K. Some car license plates are different to those regular Cypriot ones, but thats about it.
Nasa-funded study: industrial civilisation headed for
A new study sponsored by Nasas Goddard Space Flight Center has highlighted the prospect that global industrial civilisation could collapse in coming decades due to unsustainable resource exploitation and increasingly unequal wealth distribution. Noting that warnings of collapse are often seen to be fringe or controversial, the study attempts to make sense of compelling historical data showing that the process of rise-and-collapse is actually a recurrent cycle found throughout history. Cases of severe civilisational disruption due to precipitous collapse often lasting centuries have been quite
of the study: A Minimal Model for Human and Nature
Interaction, authored by Safa Motesharrei, Jorge
Rivas and Eugenia Kalnay.
From The Guardian
Global riot epidemic due to demise of cheap fossil
If anyone had hoped that the Arab Spring and Occupy protests a few years back were one-off episodes that would soon give way to more stability, they have another thing coming. The hope was that ongoing economic recovery would return to pre-crash levels of growth, alleviating the grievances fueling the fires of civil unrest, stoked by years of recession. But this hasnt happened. And it wont. Instead the post-2008 crash era, including 2013 and early 2014, has seen a persistence and proliferation of civil unrest on a scale that has never been seen before in human history.
From The Guardian
Scientists Sound Alarm on Climate
The American Association for the Advancement of Science, the worlds largest general scientific society, has released a stark report on global warming. The report warns that the effects of human emissions of heat-trapping gases are already being felt, that the ultimate consequences could be dire, and that the window to do something about it is closing.
From the New York Times
Warm, too warm, and warmer still: The climate movement
must face up to its colossal failure
There is no disputing the climate movements breadth, depth, diligence, passion or commitment. Crucially, its also right, fighting for nothing less than the future of our civilisation. But playing out in slow motion in front of our eyes, we are witnessing its complete collapse. Sustainability conferences hijacked by oil officials and sponsored by Big Oil are but symptoms of a deeper malaise.
Where Does the Flatness of Oil Production Come
For CONVENTIONAL oil, the peak annual global production was about 30 billion barrels (in 2010), but it is now down by about 10%. The TOTAL of global oil production, however, has been more or less flat since about 2002. The discrepancy...
If We Release a Small Fraction of Arctic Carbon, Were
Recently, scientists have made a disturbing discovery in the Arctic Ocean: They saw vast methane plumes escaping from the seafloor, as the Stockholm University put it in a release disclosing the observations. The plume of methanea potent greenhouse gas that traps heat more powerfully than carbon dioxide, the chief driver of climate changewas unsettling to the scientists.
Heading Toward The Sidewalk
By John Michael Greer, The Archdruid Report
The author, a well-known writer on peak Oil and related topics, argues that another economic crash is imminent in the U.S., this time because the fracking/shale gas bubble is about to burst.
Blame the Environmentalists
By Richard Heinberg, Post Carbon Institute
CEOs of companies engaged in shale gas and tight oil drilling are undoubtedly aware of whats going on in their own balance sheets, hype is an essential part of their business model.
Why doesnt the long emergency feel like an
By Kurt Cobb, Resourceinsights.blogspot.in
In 2006 when James Howard Kunstler published his breakthrough book The Long Emergency, the next two years seemed to vindicate his warning that the oil age was coming to an end with perilous consequences. By autumn the stock market had collapsed and with it the world economy. Oil, too, then collapsed, trading in the mid-$30 range by December as demand for oil fell off a cliff with the economy. It seemed for months that the world was headed for an economic depression.
Transformative Common Sense in Vermont
By Eric Zencey, Steadystate.org
Because GDP-based economic development is so wrong-headed, the state of Vermonts commitment to use Genuine Progress Indicator as a yardstick is a matter of common sense; and yet, because GDP-based economic development is so deeply woven into the substance and texture of our political economy, using basic common sense here is a powerfully transformative act.
GDP: The Infinite Planet Indicator
By Eric Zencey, Steadystate.org
If economists know GDP is not a measurement of economic well-being, why have they continued using it as a proxy for this?
Some Thoughts On Resilience and Transition
By Saral Sarkar, www.eco-socialist.blogspot.in
Just How Legal Are Seed Libraries?
From the Post Carbon Institute
After the Pennsylvania Department of Agriculture cracked down on a community seed library, hundreds of seed libraries in the U.S. are suddenly wondering i...
Richard Martin, Technology Review
An old man wakes on the floor of a hut in a village in southern India. He is wrapped in a thin cotton blanket. Beside him, music wails softly on a transistor radio. A small wood fire smolders on the floor, filling the space with a light haze; above it,the bamboo timbers of the huts roof are charred to a glossy black.
The mans name is Mallaiah Tokala, and he is the headman of Appapur village, in the Amrabad Tiger Reserve in Telangana state. On his forehead he wears the vibhuti, the sacred daub of white ash. He is uncertain of his exact age, but he is well into his 10th decade. He has lived in this village his whole life, a period that encompasses the tumultuous 20th-century history of India: the rise of Gandhi, the Salt March, the end of the Raj and the coming of independence, Partition and the bloodshed that followed, the assassination of Rajiv Gandhi and the dawning of a new era of sectarian violence and terrorism. And now he has lived long enough to witness the coming of electricity to Appapur, in the form of solar-powered lights and TVs and radios.
Six Key Trends Shaping the Energy Future
The Paris-based International Energy Agency was established after the oil crisis of the early 1970s in a move by oil-consuming nations to keep better track of trends and improve energy security. Its annual World Energy Outlook, with hundreds of pages of analysis and charts, is considered the industry bible. Heres a rundown of key trends IEA identified as shaping the world outlook this year.
From National Geographic
Western Voters Say No to Fracking and Coal
Fossil fuels took a licking in local elections in Colorado and Washington on Tuesday, as voters resoundingly said no to oil and gas fracking and coal exports.
How Americas Energy Appetite Has Changed (Interactive
The energy industry has undergone seismic changes in technology and outlook over the past 40 years, but that turmoil is only just beginning to produce an impact on the sources of American energy consumption. The following interactive graph allows you to compare the source of energy consumed in the U.S. between any two years over the last four decades.
Energy Sustainability Dilemma A talk by J. David Hughes
(Video & slides)
A fascinating talk by J. David Hughes, a research fellow at the Post Carbon Institute, given at Cornell-5-2-12, Energy Sustainability Dilemma : Powering the Future in a Finite World Most of the easy energy is gone. This was from oil which was plentiful, and easy to get, with a very high net Energy Return on Investment (EROI). Now we are pursuing Deep Ocean Drilling, Tar Sands, Fracked Shale Gas, etc. Are we heading for a dead end? What about Wind and Solar? Can they make up the difference? This talk is somewhat technical, but essential if we are to understand our energy options as our society pushes for more energy.
From Post Carbon Institute
Make no mistake, this is an energy civil
Jeremy Leggetts new book The Energy of Nations: risk blindness and the road to renaissance is an inspirational, page-turning telling of the evolving tale of peak oil, climate change, and economic crisis, and how the three issues intertwine and interweave. Rob Hopkins, one of the founders of the Transition Towns movement, interviews the author.
From Transition Network
The Last of Eden
On one of the last islands of intact rain forest in Brazils eastern Amazon, the Aw Indians face the seemingly inexorable eradication of their home. Even the legal victory that deeded them the land hasnt stopped the ruthless felling of trees by forces they cant even comprehend. Photographer Sebastio Salgado captures the Aws worl...
As wrong as Mattis was on a number of foreign policy issues, there is a real danger that his successor could be far worse. Even if Trump doesnt nominate a Tom Cotton or Lindsey Graham, the next Defense Secretary is very likely to be a yes-man in the mold of Mike Pompeo.
Ukraines western puppet dictator, Petro Poroshenko recently turned New York Times columnist with an introductory fiction piece entitled Putin Must Be Punished. The same man installed to help the Anglo-European alliance expand NATO is again claiming Putin and Russia as the aggressors in an economic war planned in Washington. This week, the IMF has turned over move billions to the biggest criminals in Eastern Europe.
Petro Poroshenko reminds me of an evil Porky Pig. I am sorry, it had to be said. Its tough to hear that the western banking pirates at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have decided once again to fund man the Obama administration hand-picked to preside over Ukraine during operation Barbarossa II. This lying, thieving, cold-blooded killer oligarch is ten times worse than the Russian mafiosos Hollywood characterized in 100 movies. But I dont expect readers to take my word on this, so let me present evidence from other sources not aligned with Russia. Dont take my word on Poroshenkos graft and malfeasance; you can glean the folly of the west by reading mainstream media.
Foreign Policy is globalist owned media, but this story aimed at framing Putin and Russia for leveraging the Ukraine mob ends up showing who stands behind Poroshenko. The author writes of Petro Poroshenko being one of those who benefitted from the old gangster order of Viktor Yanukovychs government, while at the same time describing him as able to fit into the new Ukraine. Of course, this is a convenient construct for FP since it would be impossible for anyone who is not in the club to benefit. And the evil handmaiden of corrupted loan sharking, IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde, she gets approved a new $3.9 billion loan agreement to help Poroshenko get elected again?
Poroshenko is currently behind in opinion polls ahead of the March 31 election, as many Ukrainians have ceased to believe in his promises to root out the countrys persistent corruption. My question for Ukrainians is, What did you expect? Reverting back to the FP story, Mark Galeotti is a senior non-resident fellow at the Institute of International Affairs Prague based in London offered this in his 2014 story:
Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk recently told the Russians ......
Are the yellow vests political aliens? No, on the contrary, they are ordinary citizens, voting left, voting right and probably even more frequently abstaining from voting. They have simply stopped believing in the game of representative democracy.
President Trump confirmed in a Tweet on Wednesday that the US was withdrawing from Syria. Starting immediately. Will the president follow through? What will the neocons do? Is there another false-flag danger?
During just the last two weeks of November and the beginning of December, it was possible to bear witness to an extraordinary transformation to the way the US President views Pakistans role in several significant (both past as well as current) events in world politics.
On 19 November during the interview with the TV channel Fox News, whose main points were later publicized via Twitter, Donald Trump voiced some criticism towards the Pakistani leadership, which reflected Washingtons long-established negative stance towards this nation. This position, in turn, was an inevitable consequence of the overall US policy course aimed at improving relations with India in attempts to transform it into the key Asian counterweight to the rapidly growing China.
At the same time, it also became necessary to sacrifice the somewhat friendly relations with Islamabad. It is worth noting that during the entire duration of the Cold War, Pakistan served as a buttress of US policies in the region of South and Central Asia. One of the key aspects of these policies was antagonism towards that very same India, which had a close relationship with the USSR at that time.
On 19 November, Donald Trump did not say anything new in comparison to what he had already stated almost one year earlier. He still used the same language about concealing Osama bin Laden (who could have been dealt with much earlier), and about Islamabads ineffective use of US aid to combat terrorism.
On the same day, Pakistans Prime Minister Imran Khan published a tweet on his account, which reminded Mr. Trump of the fact that, firstly, No Pakistani was involved in 9/11, and, secondly, Pakistan suffered 75,000 casualties in this war & over $123 bn was lost to economy after it had voluntarily joined the US War on Terror in Afghanistan. In comparison, continued Imran Khan, the US aid was a miniscule $20 bn.
The Pakistani Prime Minister also did not miss an opportunity to remind the US that, having deployed 140,000 NATO troops, 250,000 Afghan soldiers and spent $1 billion, they only made the Taliban stronger.
However, at the beginning of Dece...
The partisans of the Cebrowski doctrine are advancing their pawns. If they cease creating wars in the Greater Middle East, theyll inflame the Caribbean Basin. The Pentagon is planning to assassinate an elected head of state, ruin his country, and undermine the unity of Latin-America.
The post The United States Are Preparing A War Between Latin-American States appeared first on OrientalReview.org.
The Israeli military published drone footage of its air force bombing a seemingly empty building in Gaza. It left out the part where one of its missiles killed two teens sitting on the roof, independent investigators find.
The Israeli army edited out key footage of a missile strike that killed two Palestinian teenagers sitting on a Gaza rooftop earlier this year, according to an investigation by the UK-based Forensic Architecture institute and Israeli human rights group BTselem that was published this week.
In the late afternoon hours of June 14, 2018, two Palestinian teens, Luai Kahil and Amir al-Nimra, climbed to the rooftop of al-Katiba building in Gaza City. The selfie they took on the rooftop that day would be the last photo of the teens.
The Israeli air force launched four warning missiles toward the building, which it said was a Hamas training facility. The warning missiles, low-explosive missiles Israeli army calls roof knocking, are meant to warn civilians to leave the targeted building before larger bombs are dropped, according to the army.
Following the warning missiles, four larger missiles leveled the building. Kahil and al-Nimra,...
READ ORIGINAL PAPER:
By Ricarda Winkelmann, Anders Levermann, Andy Ridgwell and Ken Caldeira
If We Burned All the Fossil Fuel in the
Elizabeth Kolbert, The New Yorker
What would happen if we burned through all of the fossil-fuel resources known to exist? In a paper published today in the journal Science Advances, a quartet of German, American, and British researchers take on this question. The answer, not surprisingly, is grim. If mankind managed to combust the worlds known conventional deposits of coal, gas, and oil, and then went on to consume all of its unconventional ones, like tar-sands oil and shale gas, the result would be emissions on the order of ten trillion tons of carbon. Average global temperatures would soar, and the world would remain steamy for millennia. After ten thousand years, the planet would still be something like fourteen degrees Fahrenheit hotter than it is today. All of the worlds mountain glaciers and the Greenland ice sheet would melt away; Antarctica, too, would eventually become pretty much ice free. Sea levels would rise by hundreds of feet. Read more
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