World greenhouse gas emissions must peak by 2020, or its lights
Thats the message from the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change), which has come out from under the shadows of Paris
2015 swinging like a heavyweight champion boxer, and, in fact,
theyve taken the gloves off in preparation for bare-knuckled
The worlds leading scientists met at the Forty-Eighth Session of
the IPCC and First Joint Session of Working Groups I, II, and III,
1-5 October 2018 in Incheon, Republic of Korea and openly declared
that civilization is on track for collapse because of reckless use
of fossil fuels, unless the beast is corralled, meaning start
reacting now, no more waiting around!
Peak emissions must be achieved by 2020, a slap in the face
wake-up call issued by the gathering of scientists in South Korea,
They intend to change the course of history, or so they claim.
Along those lines, 1.5C is an absolute guardrail not to be crossed
(not their words but its what their analysis implies). Not a bad
idea and worthy of deeper analysis, and it is much stronger than
At first blush, peak GHG (greenhouse gas) emissions by 2020
seems nearly impossible to achieve, but its a decent idea and
jam-packed full of strong motivation, like all hell breaks lose
without immediacy of action. In a BBC interview, Heleen de Coninck,
a Dutch climate scientist, said:
The decisions we make now about whether we let 1.5 or 2 degrees
or more happen will change the world enormously.
In years past, the IPCC viewed the next century as the timeline
for deep reckoning when the climate monster would be most
threatening. Thats been amended in a big way. Now, trouble is only
decades away, and maybe only a few, not several.
According to Bloomberg News, the dictum issued by IPCC
to avoid outright catastrophe the world community must invest $2.4
T (trillion) in clean energy every year through 2035 and cut
coal-fired power down to as close to zero as possible by 2050.
Also, its absolutely necessary to quickly develop functioning
technology to remove CO2 from the atmosphere, an enormous
undertaking that might or might not work. Nobody knows because its
never been done to scale. It may require almost as much
infrastructure as needed by the fossil fuel industry to emit the
CO2 in the first instance. In a word, overwhelming!
Or, looked at another way, according to the renowned physicist
Klaus Lackners analysis of whats required for direct carbon
If you built a hundred million trailer-size units you could
actually keep up with current emissions....